5 Best Horse Racing Movies You Haven’t Heard Of
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4 Tricks For Setting Wagering Criteria
We all have dreams we want to pursue. For some people it is an exciting career as an accountant or juggling unicyclist. For others it may be making a living from playing the races. Regardless of what you are pursuing, the pursuit of your success can also be the catalyst of failure if you don’t make the right priorities.
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4 Handicapping Methods To Consider When Betting The Races
Recently a reader sent me a question that I thought was easy to answer until I thought about it longer. Frustrated Frank asked, “What is a successful way to approach a race?”
Immediately I thought of how I run through a mental checklist. I have factors I look for that tells me within about a minute if this race is likely to present a favorable betting opportunity. While the weight of factors may change based on the conditions of a race, I am always looking at the same key factors.
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Handicapping Or Alchemy? That Is The Question
After 30 plus years of playing the races, I am convinced that handicapping is alchemy.
Alchemy is as old as the ages. In Ancient Greek times the great philosophers like Aristotle and Plato dabbled in the pursuit of creating the perfect proportion of the four elements: air, water, fire, and earth; to create gold and other metals. Even as far back as 1900 B.C. in Ancient Egypt, Hermes Trismegistus is thought of as the founder of the art of alchemy.
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The Dog Days Of Horse Racing (Part 1)
In the past, I have shared some great videos of horseplayers behaving badly or being a bit over the top in cheering their horses to victory. But how does man’s best friend feel about horse racing?
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Don’t Be Part Of A Percentage: 4 Questions To Ask To Avoid It
Are you part of the 95% of people reading this article that do not know that today is World Statistics Day?
I made that up, but it sounded good, didn’t it?
Mark Twain once quipped “There are three types of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.” You can get the first two from politicians and our good friend Rail Guy. The last one you can get anywhere. You can watch the news and hear about the percentage of kids in a school system that are underperforming and the recent trends for employment and the stock market.
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Betting Tip: Know Your Boundaries At The Track
Boundaries are marked in various ways. It could be a fence, sign, wall, hedge, or even a moat filled with alligators if your Homeowners Association will allow it. Physical boundaries in life can keep the deer out of your yard or kids from cutting across your lawn when they walk home from school.
We’ve all seen the degenerate who is begging someone for a buck so he can stay in the game or the guy picking up tickets off the floor in the hopes of finding a winner to keep playing. These are the extreme cases of not setting boundaries at the track. On a lesser scale, taking too long to get your bets punched in or betting on something you are not sure about are also where you have crossed over your boundaries.
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Is There A Right Time To Wager? You Bet!
The only thing harder for a horseplayer than deciding which horse to bet on is when the right time is to place their bets. There are a lot of factors that go into selecting a contender and structuring a wager, but there are an equal amount of factors that weigh into when to pull the trigger.
Recently, a reader we will call Hesitant Henry sent me an email asking about when I know it is a good time to place a bet. While I wish there were a black and white answer, there are a lot of factors that play into the right time to place a bet.
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4 Steps To Avoid Being A One-Hit Wonder At The Track
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I Can See Clearly: 5 Ways To Reduce Your Brain Fog While Handicapping
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A Handful Of Racing Myths To Improve Your Wagering
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Why Highly Motivated Can’t Win The Kentucky Derby?
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New To Derby Wagering? A Bettor’s Primer To Picking Winners
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4 Ways To Build Your Confidence And Bankroll At The Track
Most people can't turn a profit at the track since they have no confidence. Here is how to build both your confidence and bankroll at track.
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Holy Trinity Of Horseplayers: Contenders, Strategy, Money Management
When you ask someone what the Holy Trinity is you are bound to get more than one answer.
If you are religious you may likely answer that it is the Father, the Son, and the Holy Ghost. If you prepare Cajun and Creole cuisine, your response is going to be white onion, green bell pepper, and celery. For many horse racing enthusiasts, they will say it is the Triple Crown, the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes, and the Belmont Stakes.
However, if you ask someone who makes their living playing the races you will get a different answer. One gentleman I know from my misspent youth on the grandstand apron at Monmouth Park would answer with contenders, strategy, and money management.
Is it really that simple?
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5 Ways Spurs Coach Gregg Popovich Can Improve Your Handicapping
A few years ago, Bloomberg Businessweek writer Ira Boudway wrote the business piece that coach Gregg Popovich would never write. He called it “The Five Pillars of Gregg Popovich.”
As far as NBA coaches go, Gregg Popovich is an anomaly. He has been coaching the San Antonio Spurs since 1996 and has racked up a lot of wins in that span. Most professional sports teams run through coaches like Kleenex, but Popovich’s approach has made him the longest tenured coach in not only the NBA, but all major sports leagues in the United States.
Like a horseplayer who is trying to make a living playing the races, you are only in the game for the long haul like Popovich if you have a recipe for success. Here is how you can use Gregg Popovich’s “pillars” to help your bankroll at the track.
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In Handicapping, Wrong Is Sometimes Right
As handicappers, we strive to be wrong less often than we are right. Yet in defeat we can find a positive.
Thinking back to the days of my misspent youth on the apron of the Monmouth Park grandstand with my late Uncle Dutch, I remember one regular handicapper who celebrated when he lost. You read that correctly, a handicapper that was thrilled when he lost a bet.
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How To Make Handicapping A Success: Make A Plan; Do The Work
Winning horseplayers execute with both intention and action. Losing horseplayers don’t.
Think back to your days of sitting in Mr. Burke’s math class. I am sure you remember the kid that sat behind you talking all period of the two lovebirds on either side of you that made you pass notes all class long. While you were busy passing sappy love notes you may have caught a little of Mr. Burke discussing Venn diagrams.
What’s a Venn diagram? So, maybe you were too busy flicking the ears of the kid in front of you and passing love notes to remember. A Venn diagram is a diagram that shows simple set relationships between two or more factors in probability, logic, and statistics. Picture two large circles overlapping, each circle means something on its own, but the overlapping area is elements common to the two larger sets.
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4 Pace Pitfalls To Avoid: Think Twice Before Backing Early Speed
There have been books written about it. There have been endless debates on handicapping and horse racing forums about it. I’ve even seen guys come to blows in the old Bally’s Wild West Racebook in Atlantic City over it.
Whether you are making money playing early speed or cashing tickets playing against early speed, anyone who makes their living playing the races will tell you that early speed is important in every race.
Why?
Someone has to set the pace. The pace could be lightning fast or a leisurely run half mile in 50 seconds. The pace could be set by a horse with a ton of stamina or a horse that is going to have expended all their energy by the half mile call. Some horses need to be all alone up front and will fold under pressure, while others seem to thrive on the competition and can duel to the wire.
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5 Race Calls You’ve Got To Hear: The Voice Of Marshall Cassidy Remains ‘In Front’
The thoroughbred racing community lost one of its greatest and most distinctive voices with the recent passing of race-caller Marshall Cassidy at the age of 75.
Cassidy wore many hats during his stellar career: racing official for the State of New York; sportscaster for major television stations; patrol and placing judge for NYRA; and alternate steward. Of course, he will best be remembered for this distinguishable voice and style of calling the races.
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When Good Horseplayers Go Bad (Part 5)
I have highlighted some outrageous horseplayer behavior in the first four parts of this series:
When Good Horseplayers Go Bad Part 1
When Good Horseplayers Go Bad Part 2
When Good Horseplayers Go Bad Part 3
When Good Horseplayers Go Bad Part 4
But there are always more hilarious examples of horseplayers in action to be found on the internet. So whether you are a part-time handicapper or if you make your living playing the races, there is always time for a good laugh.
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5 Ways To Prevent ‘Lizard Brain’ From Making You Lose At The Track
Our brains are highly developed. The three main parts work together to make us the people that we are. They keep us alive, provide us with motor skills, and allow us to have judgment, intellect, and memories.
What happens, though, when the oldest and most dominant part of our brain decides to take over?
If you are caught in a burning building or being chased by a pack of feral cockapoos in your neighborhood, your lizard brain is helping you to survive. It is that “fight-or-flight” response your ancestors needed to stay alive when the saber-toothed tiger wandered into the group or the volcano erupted behind you.
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6 Steps To Be Brave And Leave Your Comfort Zone
It takes a lot of courage to break out of your comfort zone. We enjoy the predictability of our routines. We fear failure, rejection, and judgment. We avoid risk. We are creatures of habit.
When we were kids we never held ourselves back. We’d try to learn the bicycle, fall off, get a couple of scrapes, rub some dirt on it, and give it another try. As adults, we are no longer wired that way. I bet you can think of some ways that you are currently limiting your potential.
There are plenty of benefits from breaking out of your comfort zone. You will feel more in control of your handicapping and have more confidence in your betting. You will become more productive and find new ways to look at problems, coping better with the unexpected. You’ll find it easier to push yourself to try something new in the future.
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Analyze This: 9 Pace Types To Avoid Before Making Your Bet
In life there is information that you should use and information that you should avoid using. When your doctor tells you that you should work out more and cut your salt intake for your health, you listen and use that information. When some creepy cousin of Rail Guy tells you that he has some dirt cheap Prada bags in his trunk that he wants you to have, you avoid this kind of information.
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Using These 3 R’s To Improve Your Handicapping
If you do a web search for “3 R’s” you get a lot of interesting results.
For the environmental minded, there is “Reduce, Reuse, and Recycle,” which helps to cut down on the waste we throw away, but doesn’t make us a buck at the track. In the world of animal testing, there is “Replacement, Reduction, and Refinement,” which helps to find more humane ways to treat animals, but again isn’t going to help you hit that big winner.
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Use Dragonfly Eyes To Win At The Track
When you think of animals that have great eyesight what comes to mind?
Eagles can see eight times as far as humans and can scope out a small animal on the ground from two miles away. Owls have a 270-degree range of vision by moving their heads around and some of the best night vision in the animal kingdom. Our good friend Rail Guy has been known to spot live longshots in the stables from the grandstand apron at Monmouth Park, or so he claims.
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3 Ways To Manage Your Schadenfreude At The Track
Schadenfreude.
No, it is not the new model that Volkswagen is releasing next year. It’s far from “Farfegnugen,” which is the German word for driving enjoyment, which was a VW marketing slogan years ago.
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Always A Bridesmaid, Never A Bride: Best Of The Worst Horses
Who doesn't like rooting for the underdog? The horse that just can't seem to win... here are the best of the worst in the world of horse racing!
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5 Ways Marcus Aurelius Can Help You Excel As A Handicapper
What would a Roman emperor and Stoic philosopher know about handicapping?
I doubt Marcus Aurelius, the author of the famous philosophical work Meditations, was trying to figure out the contenders in the fifth race at Pompeii Downs or ever thought about making his living playing the chariot races. Instead, it was his philosophical side that lends itself to being helpful to your handicapping almost 2,000 years later.
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No Crying At The Track: 4 Betting Tips For Handling Late Changes
There's no crying in horse racing. No crying!
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Hold Your Fire! 3 Ways To Overcome Being A Shotgun Horseplayer
Do you bet on every race that you can? Do you lower your standards on what types of horses or races warrant a play in the hopes of increasing your chance of winning? Are you playing tracks or breeds that you wouldn’t normally play trying to find more action?
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Mother Knows Best: Leading Breeders’ Cup Dams
Mama said we are in the midst of the Breeders' Cup. Time to give a "dam" and watch (see what I did there????)
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Who’s Your Daddy? The Winningest Breeders’ Cup Sires
Sometimes you just need to ask... Who's your daddy? In the Breeders' Cup, it makes a difference...
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Bet On It: Fix Your Mindset And Grow Your Bankroll
It is hard to make a profit at the track year after year. It is even harder to make your living playing the races. Many try and most will fail. It may not be your handicapping that is holding you back, but rather it your mindset.
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Tick, Tick, Tick: 8 Timely Tricks to Help Manage Your Handicapping
What is as important as money management at the track? Time management. After all, time is money, right?
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Winning Formula: 7 Rules For Investing at the Track
When it comes to the stock market there are legends like Warren Buffet and Benjamin Graham. They share several common traits such as being disciplined, being hard workers, staying focused, being patient, having a plan that makes sense, and identifying and overcoming psychological biases.
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Preakness Odds 2020: Can a Filly Win the Pandemic Preakness?
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Recognize Risks, Reap Rewards at the Track
Risks are everywhere. Any money you invest in the stock market has the potential to return a profit or lose you money when that clinical trial fails. You take a risk every time you get behind the wheel of your car. You take a risk when you buy yesterday’s sushi at half price at a gas station.
There are also plenty of risks in playing the races. Folks that make their living playing the races know them all too well. Most importantly they know how to identify, measure, and mitigate them to remain profitable.
What types of risks do handicappers face?
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Fuggedaboutit: How Unlearning Makes You a Better Handicapper
I know a lot of handicappers. Some are small winners, some are big winners, and others are not as lucky. My observations are that what holds the small winners back from making their living playing the races or the losing player from turning a profit is not their ability to learn new things. Rather it is their inability to unlearn what they already know.
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Try, Try Again: 5 Steps of Handicapping in Perpetual Beta
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4 Keys to Look for in Betting the Kentucky Derby
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Real Simple: 5 Ways to Change Your Handicapping Habits
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Nuclear Handicapping: How Enrico Fermi Will Make You Better
Hold ‘Em or Fold ‘Em: 6 Laws of Wealth at the Track
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Pros and Cons of COVID-19 Horseplaying
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6 Behaviors That Could Crush Your Handicapping
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When Good Horseplayers Go Bad – Part 4
Even the best horseplayers behave badly from time to time... the best part is that we can get a laugh out of it (unless it is you, of course)!
Enjoy the lighter side of horse racing!
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6 Ways to Think Like a Winning Handicapper
Winning handicappers who consistently make a profit playing the races have different thinking behaviors than the casual player. Some may be part-time horseplayers while others may make their living playing the races. But what exactly sets them apart from the average handicapper?
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Reach Out! How to REACH the Next Level of Profit at the Track
5 Ways Napoleon Hill Will Make You A Better Handicapper
Think and grow rich at the track... Napoleon Hill will make you a better handicapper... here's how!
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How To WRAP Your Head Around Better Handicapping
Stop making bad decisions at the track and WRAP your head around better handicapping...
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4 Ways To Build Your Handicapping Mental Strength
They say only the strong survive... that is true in life and at the track
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Remain Calm: 3 Steps To Remove Emotions From Your Handicapping
Emotions can cloud your judgement. Here's how to avoid that at the track!
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Still Grinding Away? 5 Steps To Reinvent Your Handicapping
Not having your usual success at the track? It may be time to reinvent yourself!
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Horse Betting 101: 5 Tips For First-Time Handicappers
New to handicapping the races? Here are some tips to get you started!
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3 Ways To Avoid Regrettable Substitutions
No regrets at the track!
Avoid making a bad decision when your horse scratches!
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4 Keys To Handicapping Efficiently
Not only do you need to handicap effectively, you need to handicap efficiently...
Here's how...
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Rack ‘Em Up: Using The Horseplayer Triangle For Fun And Profit
Okay racing fans... you are remember the Fire Triangle from elementary school, right?
What about the Horseplayer Triangle?
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6 Steps To Developing, Maintaining Good Handicapping Habits
We all focus on our bad habits at the track, but how about we develop some new good ones instead?
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Looking Back At The Pandemic Of 1918
Horse racing survived the last pandemic, here's what it was like...
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6 Tips For Spring Cleaning Your Handicapping
Stuck at home? Not sure what to do next?
How about Spring Cleaning your Handicapping???
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7 Handicapping Tips For A New Track
There are a few tracks open and running while everything is shut down. Learning and understanding a new track can be difficult, unless you have a plan of attack...
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Self-Isolating? Here’s 6 Ways To Boost Your Handicapping
By now most of us are working from home. We’ve converted living rooms, family rooms, basement workshops, or some other space in our house to a makeshift office for the foreseeable future.
You’ve spent more time with your spouse in the last week than you did in the last year. You realized that kid who is always hanging around is your son, but you still can’t remember his name. You are checking things off the honey-do list faster than ever.
Why not take a break from fixing the gutters and take advantage of that time you are not spending on your daily commute? It is time to improve your handicapping while you are being isolated from society. It may also help you keep your sanity.
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When Good Horseplayers Go Bad Series – Part 3
Need a good laugh?
Check out the third part of my series "When Good Horseplayers Go Bad"
Hopefully none of them are you!
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Horse Racing Handicapping Tips: 4 Approaches For Better Results
Like Ferris Bueller said, “Life moves pretty fast. If you don’t stop and look around once in awhile, you could miss it.” The same is true about handicapping.
With any handicapping angle or factor, it always pays to revisit what is working and not working from time to time.
Horse racing is an ever changing game. Everyone I know that makes their living playing the races is constantly retooling and tweaking their approach.
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4 Steps To “Get To The Point” At The Windows
There are many unwritten rules of the race track. One of the most important is being considerate at the windows.
We’ve all been behind a guy like our friend Rail Guy. Post time is ticking ever closer and the line seems to be moving. Rail Guy is in front of you and as he steps up to the window you know you’ll get your bet placed in time.
Or will you?
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‘Wally The Whale’ Offers 3 Tricks For Success At The Track
Not that long ago I met a professional horseplayer and sports gambler who makes his living playing the horses and sports. We’ll call him Wally the Whale to protect his real identity.
I didn’t meet Wally where you would think. It wasn’t while simulcasting at Monmouth Park, at the local OTB that is on my way home, in a horse racing chat room, or even sitting a bar watching a game. I met him while standing in line at the deli counter at my local Shoprite.
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Just Sayin! Understanding Racetrack Slang
Slang. Jargon. Vernacular. Lingo. These are all terms for a casual dialect spoken locally somewhere. To the outsider it makes no sense, but to the insider it is crystal clear. For example, here in New Jersey we don’t go to the beach, we go “down the shore.” We go to “the city”, which is either New York City or Philadelphia depending on whether you identify with North or South Jersey.
The track also has its own unique slang terms. I remember standing by the paddock at Monmouth Park one sunny, August afternoon with Newbie Nick. As I was explaining some of the physical traits I look for in a contender, our good friend Rail Guy bellied up to the rail.
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Plan Ahead: The Last Responsible Moment
Whether you are a casual horseplayer or you make your living playing the races every horseplayer has the same struggle. It is a problem unique to horseplayers in a pari-mutuel pool. Sports gamblers don’t have this dilemma. All horseplayers struggle with when is the last responsible moment they can place a bet.
What do I mean by “last responsible moment” and how does that apply to you?
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Time To Shape Up Your Bankroll
The winter in the Northeast has been a bit balmy. As I am writing this article it is 62 degrees. Plants are confused and starting to bud and you can hear the groundhogs whistling in the distance. The summer months will be here before we know it. Since you are thinking about shaping up and getting your beach bod back, you should also think about shaping up your bankroll.
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4 Solutions When The Problem Isn’t The Problem
As handicappers, we are tasked with a tough problem about 10 times a day. We are trying to figure out which horse or horses we should play and how we should play them to make a profit at the track. Think of the race as the problem and my handicapping as the solution. Yet sometimes as Captain Jack Sparrow said, “The problem is not the problem.”
What do you mean the problem isn’t the problem? I mean just that. The race isn’t the problem, it is your handicapping that is the problem. But before you start tossing the past performances in the trash realize that there are solutions to your problems.
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Remain Calm: 5 Ways To Stay Positive When You Aren’t
Have you ever had a bad day at the track? I have. I can guarantee that you have. Even the guys I know that make their living playing the races have.
If you have been around professional gamblers, they will all tell you that “it is a marathon, not a sprint” and to remain committed for “the long haul.” Deep down you know they are right, but when you are having a bad day or week, it is hard to stay positive.
Next time you are having a hard time staying positive at the track, ask yourself the following questions.
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Remember This: Forgetting Can Make You A Smarter Bettor
Where you left your car keys … where you put down your cell phone … what you had for homework … how old you are … where you left your wallet … When is your anniversary … what time was that doctor’s appointment … picking your kids up at the airport.
What do these things all have in common?
These are things we forget. Even those of us that write everything down still forget something from time to time. While many struggle to remember everything and feel shamed for forgetting simple things such as that tray of cookies that is in the oven, there is good news.
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Excuse Roundup: Overcome 5 Handicapping Woes And Take The Plunge
You are a good handicapper. In fact, you are a great handicapper. Yet you still don’t make any money at the track.
You need a nudge.
I’m not talking about the old Monty Python skit “Nudge Nudge”. I am talking about something like a call to action.
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How To R-E-A-P Rewards At The Racetrack
At some point in your life I’m sure you have all heard the proverb, “you reap what you sow.” I know I heard it endlessly from my grandmother when I was growing up. I bet she never thought that it would relate to horse racing.
In life, the consequence of bad actions will be worse while the consequence of good actions will be better. At the track, poorly selected bets or poor money management will leave you broke and smart wagers and good money management will have you smiling at the end of the day.
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7 Handicapping Nuggets For 2020 – And Beyond
I believe in always learning and working to improve myself. My professional license and various accreditations require me to do a prescribed number of continuing education hours every renewal period. Some see the mandatory professional development as a pain in the ass. I see it as a chance to improve some area of knowledge and to help me grow both personally and professionally.
I treat my handicapping the same way.
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Richard Branson Can Make You A Better Handicapper
Sir Richard Charles Nicholas Branson – the entrepreneur, the investor, the author, the philanthropist. He has a net worth of about $4.1 billion. He has been very successful in that little venture known as the Virgin Group starting with music, an airline, and space travel in the not-so-distant future.
So how can Richard Branson make you a better handicapper?
He isn’t going to give you a couple of million because he likes hanging out with you at the track. Yet like most folks that are successful in business and life, he is disciplined, has good habits, and a positive philosophy.
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The Great Trodmore Betting Hoax
The year is 1898. It is the middle of summer in the south of England, the Summer Bank Holiday which is one of the busiest racing and betting days in England. You’ve perused the paper and made your picks. The only thing left is to ring up your local bookie and place your bets, especially the ones at the new Trodmore Hunt meet, which was to begin on Aug. 1.
All well and good — that is, if the track you are betting actually exists.
As long as there have been sporting events, there have been hoaxes. As long as there have been hoaxes, people have fallen for them. “There is,’’ as P. T. Barnum is often quoted, “a sucker born every minute.”
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S-M-A-R-T Goals Lead To Profitability
You don’t leave the house on the weekend without knowing where you are going. You don’t jump over the fence into the lion exhibit at the zoo without a plan (and live to tell about it). You don’t go up to the window to place a bet without knowing what horse you are going to bet on, unless you are “Last Minute Decision Maker.”
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6 Handicapping Red Flags
Have you ever rolled the dice and eaten that yogurt you found in the back of your refrigerator that had a best by date of six weeks ago? It kick started your weight loss goal since you were praying to the porcelain god for three days straight.
Everywhere you go there are red flags that let you know that something may be a bad idea. The same holds true in handicapping. There are many factors that raise the red flag that a horse may not be a solid contender today.
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8 Traits Of Great Horseplayers
In the past I have talked about the traits of losing horseplayers, but this time we’ll talk about the traits of great horseplayers. So, whether you are a casual horseplayer or you make your money from playing the races, it’s time to see how many of these traits you have.
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When Good Horseplayers Go Bad (Part 2)
Whether you are a causal horseplayer or you make your living playing the races, it is only natural to root for your horse. When he wins it is OK to celebrate a bit, with moderation of course. Likewise, if you lose a tidy sum of money on the race it is only natural to be upset. Previously, we looked at some crazy horseplayers at the track, but we have found some more entertaining folks for you to emulate!
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Top 10 ‘Best Of The Rest’ Breeders’ Cup Finishes
The Breeders’ Cup has expanded since it was first run in 1984. There were the original seven races, but now there are a total of 14 races in the lineup, which doesn’t include two that have been discontinued. Here we will feature the short-timers — the Juvenile Turf, Juvenile Fillies Turf, Juvenile Turf Sprint, Dirt Mile, Filly & Mare Sprint, Marathon, and Juvenile Sprint. The Marathon only ran for six years and the Juvenile Sprint ran for two years.
So whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, sit back and enjoy the “best of the rest” of the Breeders’ Cup races.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Classic Finishes
We saved the best for last.
It is the final Breeders’ Cup race to run on the second day and the one that has seen some of the greatest champions since its inception in 1984. We are talking about one of the richest races to be run in North America each year and one that has left us with some of the most memorable finishes – the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
So whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, sit back and enjoy what is the hardest of the Breeders’ Cup races to rank.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Distaff Finishes
Whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races the Breeders’ Cup offers great excitement and value. The Breeders’ Cup Distaff has produced some great finishes from some great horses over the years. The BC Distaff has also featured three horses that have won the race twice, Bayakoa in 1990 and 1991, Royal Delta in 2011 and 2012, and Beholder in 2013 and 2016.
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Top 5 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint Finishes
In 2008, three new Breeders’ Cup races were added — the Turf Sprint, the Marathon, and the Juvenile Fillies Turf. The Marathon would be discontinued after the 2013 running. While the Juvenile Fillies Turf would feature dominant winners in its short history, the Turf Sprint would conversely show a lot of great finishes in the 11 runnings of this race. The total margin of victory in the 11 races is only 6-3/4 lengths, giving this short-lived BC race its own list of top finishes.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Turf Finishes
Whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, the Breeders’ Cup offers great excitement and value. The Breeders’ Cup Turf may have produced the greatest finishes of the Breeders’ Cup races, including the only dead heat in BC history when High Chaparral and Johar hit the finish line together in 2003. Interestingly, there have been no winners of this race that were older than five years old.
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Top 5 Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf Finishes
Added in 1999, the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf became the eighth Breeders’ Cup race to complement the original seven. There has been only one repeat winner, Ouija Board, who won the race in 2004 and 2006. The last three contests have been won by European horses. In fact, European horses have won 13 of the 20 prior contests.
Although it is the “middle child” of the Breeders’ Cup races, it has given us a couple of memorable finishes. So whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races sit back and enjoy some great finishes over the turf.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Finishes
Whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, the Breeders’ Cup offers great excitement and value. The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies race hasn’t produced many exhilarating finishes in recent years but does have a history of some great races and great finishes. This race holds the distinction of being the only Breeders’ Cup race to have had a horse win by disqualification. In fact, two horses have won this race by disqualification, Ria Antonia in 2013 and Outstandingly in the inaugural running in 1984.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Finishes
The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile is often the first time that the best 2-year old colts and geldings from around the country will face off against one another. The unpredictable nature of 2-year old horses who are still developing and trying new surface and distances can lead to some very exciting races and finishes, not to mention some healthy payouts.
Whether you are a casual horseplayer, or you make your living playing the races, it’s time to sit back and enjoy my top 10 finishes in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Mile Finishes
Whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, the Breeders’ Cup offers great excitement and value. The Breeders’ Cup Mile has produced the most multiple winners of the same Breeders’ Cup race of all the current events. This list includes three-time winner Goldikova; and two-time winners Wise Dan, Da Hoss, Lure, and Miesque.
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Top 10 Breeders’ Cup Sprint Finishes
Whether you are a casual racing fan or you make your living playing the races, the Breeders’ Cup offers great excitement and value. One of the original seven Breeders’ Cup races, the BC Sprint has always featured hot fractions and fulfilled our “need for speed.”
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Thrive with These 9 Stoic Horseplaying Practices
Horseplayers that make their living playing the races must show a higher level of discipline than the betting masses. In part, they must be horseplaying Stoics.
What am I talking about?
They must bring calm to chaos. Stoicism teaches people how to develop self-control and will as a means overcome negativity and destructive emotions. Stoics also strive to be clear thinking, unbiased, and improving their moral well-being. The term Stoic refers to someone who shows indifference to joy, grief, pleasure, and pain.
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Three Little Words
There are approximately 470,000 words in the English language. Yet, the perfect combination of three little words can change your day or your life.
Hearing your partner say “I love you” can warm your heart instantly no matter how bad your day has been. After not getting enough sleep, my wife hearing me say “I’ll make coffee” is a sign of love (of both me and the coffee).
Think of the feeling you get when that item you ordered from Amazon is showing as “out for delivery.” How quickly do you feel sick when you hear “that wasn’t chicken?” What about the way of life from the show Jersey Shore, “gym, tan, laundry?” (Side note: the cast of Jersey Shore is not what those of us from Jersey are like; most of those clowns were from New York.)
What three little words can cause a horseplayer to ride an emotional roller coaster?
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For the Love of the Game
There are a lot of characters you find at the track. Many people blend in with the thousands of other track patrons on any given day, from the casual fan to those who are making their living playing the ponies.
Recently I found myself playing hooky from work and hanging out on the grandstand apron of Monmouth Park on a sunny, gorgeous August Friday afternoon. While trying to get away from Rail Guy, I recognized a friendly face and fixture at Monmouth Park, Bobby Bulger. As the favorite in the first race returned to the paddock for a shoe change, I hustled over to Bobby as Rail Guy was giving his usual dissertation as to why “da seven-horse has no chance in dis race” to anyone who would listen. Amazingly, this time he was right.
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Top Travers Finishes of the Last Decade
Peas and carrots. Franks and beans. Peanut butter and jelly. Travers and amazing finishes.
The Mid-Summer Derby at Saratoga, the Travers Stakes, has produced some commanding wins and some heart pounding stretch drives. The last three runnings have produced commanding wins by Arrogate in 2016, West Coast in 2017, and Catholic Boy in 2018. Yet, there have been several amazing battles in the stretch in the last decade of the Travers as well.
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Travers By The Numbers
A few weeks ago, we went to the Jersey Shore and looked at the Haskell Invitational by the numbers; now we’re off to Saratoga Springs, New York, and a look at Saturday’s Travers Stakes by the numbers.
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When Good Horseplayers Go Bad (Part 1)
Whether you are a causal horseplayer or you make your living playing the races, it is only natural to root for your horse. When he wins it is OK to celebrate a bit, with moderation of course. Likewise, if you lose a tidy sum of money on the race it is only natural to be upset.
Some horseplayers take their day at the track to the extreme.
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Thanks For The Memories Marylou & Birdstone
There are many who have left their mark on the sport of horse racing. If someone says Seabiscuit or Secretariat, you know who they are talking about. While horse names will be forever remembered for their accomplishments, there are many humans that have left their mark on the sport. Jockeys like Gary Stevens or Jerry Bailey are recognizable to the masses for the amazing races they have ridden. Even casual fans can spot trainer Bob Baffert’s white hair and sunglasses out of a crowd.
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Four Signs of Handicapping Burnout and How to Fix Them
Everyone gets burned out at some point. Whether it is at work, at home, coaching your kid’s sports team, or making your living playing the races, no one is immune to burnout.
What are some of the signs that you are suffering from handicapping burnout?
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Horseplayers Are Alike All Over
You’ve noticed it. I am sure of it. If you’ve played the ponies at different racetracks you know what I mean. You see the same characters wherever you go. They may be older or younger, a man or a woman, have a different accent or build, but you’ll find that horseplayers are alike all over.
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Haskell 2019: Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining
For my friends that sat in line starting at 8 a.m. to get the perfect table in the picnic area, this made a trip to the track into a 12-plus hour day for those that decided to stick it out.
With very little to do between the second race and the evening start of the stakes portion of the card, why hang around? I don’t think I could have made myself busy for the four plus hours in this kind of heat and wouldn’t have had enough water in my cooler to last that long. Since Monmouth has also restricted the size cooler you can bring and where you can have it, those in the grandstand would have been shelling out a good buck to eat another meal and stay hydrated. One more added expense to the average track-goer that has already paid a premium to park and get into the track. I would have gone home after the second race.
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Haskell Invitational And Kentucky Derby Winners
Kentucky Derby winner Country House won’t be running in the 52nd edition of the $1 million Haskell Invitational on Saturday, but the horse that crossed the finish line first in the Run for the Roses will. The Derby finish back on May 4 saw Maximum Security hit the wire first, but he was disqualified to 17th for interference and runner-up Country House was declared the winner. At Monmouth Park, Maximum Security will be out to redeem being upset in the Pegasus earlier in the meet by King for a Day. Just in case you were wondering, though, here’s a look at how previous Kentucky Derby winners fared in the Haskell – there have been 10.
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Haskell Invitational By The Numbers
I’m a Jersey guy. I spent my formative years on the grandstand apron of Monmouth Park with my late Uncle Dutch learning the sport of horse racing. Hearing Frank Sinatra’s Summer Wind holds a special place in my heart, especially while walking out of the track with some serious folding money in my pocket.
Whether you’re a casual fan or you make your living playing the races, it’s time to have some fun with the Haskell “by the numbers.”
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10 Questions to Determine if You're Sabotaging Your Bankroll
Are you sabotaging your bankroll?
I bet you said “no.” I bet you said that emphatically, too!
Some of you may be winning at the races; some of you may be losing at the races. Some of you may even be making your living playing the races! Even if you are grinding out a profit, you could be doing better.
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My Most Memorable Stretch Drives (Part 1)
In the history of horse racing there have been hundreds, if not thousands, of great stretch drives. Some will be forgotten given the class level of the race, but many stakes races have produced stretch runs that are memorable and exciting to watch again even today.
Whether you are a casual race fan or you make your money playing the races, you have to respect some of the great races that we have been lucky enough to witness. Here are some of the most memorable stretch drives that I can remember watching live:
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How Nick Saban Can Help You Be a Better Handicapper
Nick Saban is one of the greatest coaches in college football history. His ability to recruit and his brilliant football mind have brought tremendous success to the University of Alabama’s football program. Yet, it is his approach, or process, that is what can help you elevate your handicapping and even help you to start making a living playing the races!
Photo Courtesy of University of Alabama (www.ua.edu)
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5 Things Mentally Strong Horseplayers Do
Whether you make a living playing the races or pocket some serious folding money when you aren’t working your day job you need to be mentally strong. So what sets apart the winning from the losing horseplayers?
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2019 Belmont Stakes Pace Analysis
How does the 2019 Belmont Stakes pace set up?
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Two Turns to Glory - 2019 Belmont Stakes Analysis
A mile and a half. The distance I often make my son’s U12 travel soccer team run after practice. The distance it is to walk from my in-law's house, if you go the long way. The distance ten three year-olds will run in about two and a half minutes to see who captures the final Triple Crown race of 2019.
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Fillies in the Belmont Stakes
Previously I highlighted how fillies have historically fared in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, but how have they stacked up in the Belmont Stakes?
The Belmont Stakes has produced the fewest filly starters of the three legs of the Triple Crown, yet does have both the highest winning percentage and percentage of fillies finishing in the money.
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The Belmont Stakes By The Numbers
After the controversary and history made in the Kentucky Derby with the highest win payout since 1913 and the first race-day disqualification of Maximum Security, plus an exciting Preakness Stakes, we are granted an extra week off before the Belmont Stakes.
How should you handle this extra time?
Take a break from trying to make your living by playing the races and check out some fun facts about the Belmont Stakes!
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For Bettors, There are Always Limits
One of the popular phrases we’ve all heard is that “there are no limits.”
A simple web search yields that the following things have no limits — churches, love, the outdoors, travel, your future, learning, fitness and many other things. This is the age of the overused acronyms YOLO (you only live once) and FOMO (fear of missing out), which are the battle cries of those looking to justify their “carpe diem” approach to life.
In this live-life-to-the-fullest mentality do we need limits?
As horseplayers, we most definitely need limits.
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Figuring the Pace of the 2019 Preakness Stakes
US Racing contributor Ray Wallin analyzes the likely pace of the Preakness Stakes.
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Hold All Tickets! 2019 Preakness Analysis
The 2019 Kentucky Derby was certainly…. Interesting to say the least. One of my pace scenarios almost held up. Well, it held up for about 22 minutes until they took Maximum Security down. Disqualification aside, he proved to me that he didn’t need to set a soft fraction to take a race wire to wire like he did in the Florida Derby.
Like many horseplayers, I just move on to the next race.
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Fillies in the Preakness Stakes
While the Kentucky Derby qualifying point system may deter a filly from running for the roses, is there hope for the girls looking to tackle the boys in the Preakness? Not this year, as the early Preakness contenders’ list is all boys again.
While 40 fillies have gone to post in the Kentucky Derby, there have been 54 that have started in the Preakness. Fillies have had a slightly better time in the Preakness, winning five of those starts with five places and eight shows.
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How to Find Longshot Winners in the Preakness Stakes
There have been some bombs to win the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes. Saturday, Country House became the second-highest-paying horse to win the Kentucky Derby at 65-1. The same has not been true of the Preakness.
Looking at the history of favorites in each leg of the Triple Crown tells a story. Historically the Kentucky Derby has produced the lowest percentage of winning favorites (35.9 percent) — this despite the fact that six of the last seven renewals have been won by the favorite. The Belmont Stakes has only a slightly higher win percentage at 41.9 percent, while nearly half of all Preakness Stakes have been won by the favorite.
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How to Find Longshot Winners in the Preakness Stakes
There have been some bombs to win the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes. Saturday, Country House became the second-highest-paying horse to win the Kentucky Derby at 65-1. The same has not been true of the Preakness.
Looking at the history of favorites in each leg of the Triple Crown tells a story. Historically the Kentucky Derby has produced the lowest percentage of winning favorites (35.9 percent) — this despite the fact that six of the last seven renewals have been won by the favorite. The Belmont Stakes has only a slightly higher win percentage at 41.9 percent, while nearly half of all Preakness Stakes have been won by the favorite.
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Back to the Drawing Board - 2019 Kentucky Derby Analysis
After my defeat in the 2018 Kentucky Derby I told myself I would spend more time watching the preps and getting to know the contenders before May came around. It must have been the tenth time I told myself that. Maybe in 2020!
Regardless, I had my analysis and various contributions ready to go until I saw the news on Wednesday afternoon that Omaha Beach had scratched. With deadlines to meet and a crazy work and travel soccer schedule ahead of me I was a little crunched for time redoing my analysis.
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The Kentucky Derby By The Numbers
Last spring we looked at the Preakness by the numbers. This year, we’ll take a look at some fun facts about the upcoming 145th running of the Kentucky Derby by the numbers:
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Handicapping the Kentucky Derby By Pace
Using the techniques of pace analysis to improve your Kentucky Derby bets.
One of the most frequent questions I have received from readers is how do I select a running line from each horse to create my pace scenarios?
If you ask ten handicappers how they select a running line, you will get ten different answers. But, since so many of you have asked for my opinion, here are my thoughts.
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How Dessert Can Help Handicappers Overcome Obstacles
Everyone loves dessert, especially when it’s the kind that can help you grow your bankroll and not your waistline.
Even seasoned handicappers who are making a living playing the races have periodic handicapping obstacles they need to overcome. Regardless of the problem, there is a strategy to overcome these obstacles and keep your betting in the black: D.E.S.S.E.R.T.
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Will We Ever See Another Filly In the Kentucky Derby?
40.
This is a number that defines middle age to some, when you wake up and something else hurts. It is also the number of days and nights that it rained after Noah built his ark or, if you live in New Jersey, the number of days in a row it will rain this spring.
40 is also the number of fillies that have started in the Kentucky Derby.
And that’s a number that isn’t likely to change for a long time. Of the 40 fillies to start in the Kentucky Derby, three have won, two have placed and five managed to show.
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Seven Tips for Better Handicapping Systems
For novice handicappers, there is often room for improvement in their handicapping as they try to start to track down the dream of making a living playing the races. Many, more seasoned, horseplayers may need a slight nudge to get them back on track. Either way, you can always strive to make your own approach or system better and gain a slight edge versus your competition.
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Down to the Final Derby Preps
The Kentucky Derby picture is starting to get clearer, but the last round of prep races will define the field. These races often offer strong wagering opportunities for both the casual racing fan, as well as those who make a living playing the races.
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Unwritten Rules of the Racetrack
I love going to the track. I especially love sitting out on the grandstand apron at Monmouth Park on a lazy, sunny Friday afternoon in the summer.
We are all there for the same purpose, to make a few bucks and have a good time. Yet there is one thing that can ruin a racegoer’s day faster than a pop-up thunderstorm — someone who doesn’t follow the “Unwritten Rules of the Racetrack”.
So, whether you play $2 show bets or you make a living playing the races, don’t be the guy that ruins the day for everyone else.
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Think Small, Win Big!
We are always told to “think big” or “think of the big picture” in our approaches to most things in life. What if I told you the secret to success is actually thinking small?
When I mentioned this to my youngest son, he was quick to tell me that I was wrong since his teacher tells them to think big all the time. He went on to tell me that she says they can all be astronauts, doctors, lawyers, the next Rail Guy — or whatever they want to be — by thinking big.
I disagree.
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Prepping For The Final Kentucky Derby Prep
This is a fun time of year. The 2019 Kentucky Derby field is starting to take shape, as horses are trying to win enough points to qualify for a spot in the Derby starting gate on the first Saturday in May. The races are worth more points and the fields are getting more competitive. Whether you are a casual fan or you make a living playing the races, it is time to catch “Derby Fever”.
Week to week, the field changes. Horses get injured, don’t perform as well as expected, or come out of nowhere to burst into contention. The current Kentucky Derby picture is as clear as mud.
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Making the Case for Year-Round Tracks
The leaves are starting to turn. The hot summer days of relaxing on the apron at Monmouth Park are over. The horses have all shipped elsewhere for the fall and winter.
Don’t get me wrong, I love my home track, Monmouth Park. I put a lot of effort into my own record-keeping and stats that help me make a profit there year after year. Yet, once September rolls around, I have to play something else.
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10 Bad Habits of Horseplayers
Bad habits. We all have them, even those horseplayers that are making a living playing the races. Some are worse than others. The average time it takes for someone to create or break a habit is 66 days, with a range of 18 to 254 days. Some racing meets start and finish in that time!
The good news is that you can break a habit. I have faith that my readers can do it in the 18-day timeframe and not in 254 days, but you need to identify if any of these bad habits apply to you!
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(Photo by Manan Chhabra on Unsplash)
Recalibrating Your Handicapping Can Lead to Success
A recent study found that 80 percent of high school students thought that they are smarter than the average student. In another study, 90 percent of drivers thought they were better than the average driver. In a 1977 study, Patricia C. Cross found that 94 percent of professors thought that they were above average when compared to others in academia.
People overestimate their abilities in most walks of life. Handicapping is no different.
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How 'Via Negativa' Will Change Your Life
Via negativa.
Sounds like one of the fourteen entrants Todd Pletcher will have in the Kentucky Derby this year, right?
Via negativa is a Latin phrase that is often used to explain God by explaining what God is not, as opposed to what God is. Don’t worry, I am not about to bring God into horse racing — although I have heard Rail Guy both pray to God and use the Lord’s name in vain all in the same stretch run at Monmouth Park. What we can do, though, is improve our handicapping process by focusing on what factors don’t work and use that information to eliminate runners from our contenders.
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4 Things That Will Absolutely Destroy Your Bankroll
Are you a good handicapper? Are you a great handicapper?
Maybe you are, but if you can’t manage your bankroll you’ll never make a dime off your picks, let alone make a living playing the races.
It is the downfall of many great handicappers who have winning systems and approaches. Sometimes, you don’t make the smartest decisions.
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Don't Fall Victim to Silent Evidence
In other words, we know much less than we think — dissecting the attributes of a winning horse after the race does offer some benefits, but only when you also analyze the losers. Otherwise, the factors pointing to the winner would not have been positives at the time you were handicapping the race.
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The Nine Mental Skills of Successful Gamblers
People that make a living gambling have a different mindset about gambling than those that play recreationally. When your bottom line is on the line, you approach your opportunities differently than the casual gambler.
How do they do it?
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5 Ways to Grow Your Bankroll in 2019
Lose weight. Eat healthy. Sleep more. Get a better job. End unhealthy relationships. Learn to speak Latin.
This year is going to be different. You are going to stick to your New Year’s resolutions, and this time you mean it!
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Physicality Handicapping: Don't Sweat It!
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The Good, The Bad and The Ugly of Pace - Part 1
Figuring The Kentucky Derby Pace
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Not All Favorites Are Created Equal: Part 1 – Strong and False Favorites
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The Dirty Dozen: 12 Kinds of People You Meet at the Track
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Where Good Horse Racing Systems Come From
I modified the title of Steve Johnson’s book, “Where Good Ideas Come From” by replacing “Ideas” with “Racing Systems”. Many horseplayers still wonder how to develop their own system or method of handicapping or selecting horses. While there is no magic method, one point that Steve Johnson discusses will help both the novice and seasoned horseplayer.
Collaboration.
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4 Keys to Cracking Maiden Optional Claiming Races
Recently I received some great feedback and emails on my articles about how to approach allowance optional claiming races and starter allowances. One email, in particular, had a great question that I decided to answer in today’s article.
“If you can analyze an allowance optional claiming race in part by class, how should you approach a maiden optional claimer since none of the horses have established class yet?”
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Ray's Older Articles at USRacing
Click here to see all of Ray's previously published articles at USRacing. He covers a number of great topics from how to approach different types of races - claiming, allowance optional claimers, and maiden optional claimers; as well as many other fascinating topics!
Using Monty Hall to Handicap
I admit that I was at first a bit skeptical of the Monty Hall Problem. After all, I consider myself a sound handicapper. I know where my strengths and weakness lie. I have been a winning horseplayer for years and, while happy to be turning a profit, I am always looking for a way to increase my potential number of plays and profit. How could this Monty Hall analysis help my wagering?
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Interview with Dave Schwartz of Pacemakestherace.com
Dave Schwartz Interviews Ray Wallin: Winning Player, Blogger and Former Public Selector
- Pace handicapper specializing in multiple pace scenarios.
- Key to winning is record keeping.
- Favorite Quote (from BASF): “We don’t make the product. We make it better.”
- Selecting pacelines
- Why you sometimes need multiple pacelines per horse.
- Negative angles
Click here to listen!